I don't know how much time I will have over the weekend, so I decided to put my election prediction together this afternoon. Working from a variety of sources, I came up with this:
My prediction last time was mediocre. I called it as Liberals 116, Conservatives 113, NDP 28, and Bloc 51. The actual result was 135, 99, 19, 54 and one independent. What I didn't anticpate was the last-moment collapse of NDP leaners. This year's prediction is just as vulnerable to that effect, but I'm hoping it won't happen.
Anyway, I would be reasonably happy with this outcome. We get a change of government, but the Conservatives aren't given an overwhelming mandate.
My regional breakdowns are:
The most important thing, of course, is just to get out and vote. Nobody's predictions mean anything, except as entertainment until the real votes are counted. So, get out there Monday and vote for what you believe in.